Dealing with Current Rising Interest Rates & Interest Rate Risk
With interest rates still at historically
low levels and the economy picking up steam, the Fed has started
to raise interest rates. The question now is by how much and how
quickly the Fed will increase interest rates. The answer is especially
pertinent to bond investors who will find their bond values decreasing
as interest rates increase. But don't totally abandon bonds just
because their values may decrease in the near term. There are
still valid reasons to hold bonds in your portfolio.
- Bonds add diversification
to your portfolio. Many investors added bonds to their
portfolios in the aftermath of the recent stock market declines.
However, all investments move in cycles, with bonds now poised
to decrease in value when interest rates increase. The whole
point of diversification is to hold a mix of investments so when
one investment type is declining, other investments will help
offset those declines. Historically, stocks and bonds have a
low positive correlation with each other.
- Bonds offer fixed,
periodic interest payments and your principal's return at maturity.
Thus,
even if current bond values decline, you receive some return
in the form of interest payments and the return of your entire
principal at maturity.
- Bonds are often better
suited for short- and medium-term financial goals. If you need your
money in the next few years, you may not want to keep those funds
invested in stocks, since a major stock decline could occur when
you need the money
Rather than selling all your bonds, look
for strategies to use in a rising interest rate environment. Some
strategies to consider include:
- Use a bond ladder. A bond ladder is a portfolio of bonds of similar
amounts maturing in several different years. When one of the
bonds matures, the principal is reinvested in another bond at
the bond ladder's longest maturity. By spreading out maturity
dates, you lessen the impact of interest rate changes. Holding
the bond until maturity prevents interest rate changes from resulting
in a loss when you sell the bond. Since your bonds mature every
year or so, your principal is reinvested over a period of time
instead of in one lump sum. If interest rates rise, you have
principal maturing every year or so to reinvest at higher rates.
In a declining interest rate environment, you have some funds
in longer-term bonds with higher interest rates. But the main
advantage is you don't continue to hold only short-term bonds
while you wait for interest rates to peak, an event that is difficult
to predict.
- Consider a bond swap. A bond swap is simply the sale of one bond and
the purchase of another. A rate anticipation swap is made to
take advantage of changes in market interest rates. It typically
involves swapping short- for long-term bonds or vice versa, depending
on your beliefs about the future direction of interest rates.
When you anticipate interest rates might increase, you might
swap out of longer-term bonds into short-term bonds. Then, when
interest rates do increase, you will have funds available to
invest at the higher rates. Before executing a rate anticipation
swap, make sure you understand all costs that will be incurred
and whether the sale of your existing bond will result in a taxable
gain or loss.
- Invest in short- or
intermediate-term bonds. When interest rates rise, bond values
decrease the most for long-term bonds, since they have a long
stream of interest payments that do not match current interest
rates. Thus, for new bond purchases, you may want to shorten
your maturity dates in the near term until rates stabilize at
higher levels.
- Compare all types of
bonds before investing. If you have a bond maturing, don't
just reinvest in the same type of bond without taking a look
at other alternatives. For example, lately the spread between
corporate and municipal bonds is very small, making municipal
bonds an attractive alternative for investors in higher tax brackets.





